4 Clear Signs Altcoin Season is Coming Soon and How to Benefit
Altcoin season is a very common and hyped term in crypto market. But What is it and when it comes? One needs to learn many things to understand this. Picture yourself in a bustling amusement park. Bitcoin is the biggest and most popular ride, attracting long lines and the most attention. However, the park is filled with many other exciting attractions, each offering unique experiences. Sometimes, these other rides become the main attractions, drawing crowds and stealing the spotlight from Bitcoin. This shift in focus is analogous to “Altcoin Season” or “Alt Season” in the cryptocurrency world, where alternative cryptocurrencies (altcoins) surge in popularity and performance. Understanding Altcoins Altcoins, short for “alternative coins,” are any cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin. They are designed to address perceived limitations of Bitcoin or to offer different functionalities. Altcoins include a variety of coins such as Ethereum (known for its smart contracts), Litecoin (which offers faster transaction times), and Ripple (which focuses on global payment solutions). History of Altcoins The first altcoin, Namecoin, was created in April 2011. It aimed to decentralize domain registration, thereby making the internet more resistant to censorship. Soon after, many more altcoins emerged, each introducing unique features and improvements over Bitcoin. For example: Litecoin (2011): Created by Charlie Lee, Litecoin was designed to offer faster transaction times and a different hashing algorithm. Ripple (2012): Focused on enabling real-time, cross-border payments. Ethereum (2015): Introduced the concept of smart contracts, allowing for programmable transactions on the blockchain. The creation of these and other altcoins sparked innovation and competition in the cryptocurrency space. Each altcoin aimed to improve upon Bitcoin’s model or to serve niche purposes, such as privacy (Monero, Zcash) or governance (Dash). Why Do Altcoins Matter? Altcoins play a crucial role in the evolution of the cryptocurrency ecosystem. They drive innovation by experimenting with new features and use cases that Bitcoin does not offer. For example: Smart Contracts: Ethereum’s introduction of smart contracts allows for decentralized applications (dApps) and complex financial transactions without intermediaries. Privacy: Monero and Zcash focus on providing enhanced privacy features, making transactions untraceable. Scalability and Speed: Altcoins like Litecoin and Bitcoin Cash aim to offer faster transaction times and lower fees compared to Bitcoin. Why Does Altcoin Season Occur? 1. Bitcoin Price Movements Altcoin seasons often follow significant price increases in Bitcoin. When Bitcoin’s price stabilizes after a surge, investors seek new opportunities in altcoins, hoping for similar high returns. 2. New Projects and Innovations Innovative new projects can spark altcoin seasons. For example, when a new altcoin promises to solve a specific problem or offers a unique feature, it can attract significant investment. 3. Market Sentiment and Hype Media coverage, endorsements from influential figures, and social media buzz can generate hype around specific altcoins, leading to rapid price increases and investment inflows. 4. Technological Advancements Advancements in blockchain technology can drive interest in altcoins. Improvements in scalability, security, or the introduction of new features make certain altcoins more attractive investments. A Look Back at Previous Altcoin Seasons 2017-2018 Altcoin Season: This period saw a dramatic drop in Bitcoin dominance, from 86.3% to 38.69%. Bitcoin’s price fell from over $20,000 to under $6,000, while altcoins surged. The Initial Coin Offering (ICO) market boomed, with projects like EOS raising over $4 billion and Tezos $232 million, marking a significant rise in altcoin values. 2020-2021 Altcoin Season: Amid the COVID-19 pandemic, investors turned to altcoins, including meme coins like Dogecoin and Shiba Inu, which saw unprecedented growth. NFTs also boosted the market, causing Bitcoin dominance to drop from 70% to 38%, with altcoin market value doubling from 30% to 62%. Indicators of Altcoin Season 1. Decrease in Bitcoin Dominance A key indicator of altcoin season is a noticeable decrease in Bitcoin’s market dominance. Bitcoin’s market dominance refers to the proportion of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization that is attributed to Bitcoin. When Bitcoin’s dominance decreases, it means that a smaller percentage of the market’s wealth is held in Bitcoin, even if the total market capitalization remains constant. This shift indicates that a larger share of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization is moving into altcoins, which are cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin. Essentially, during altcoin season, investors are diversifying their investments away from Bitcoin and into a variety of alternative cryptocurrencies, leading to their increased market share. You can check Bitcoin Dominance here, but note that dominance decreases after shifting of market share so it is a lagging indicator. 2. Performance of Top Altcoins During altcoin season, many of the top 50 altcoins by market capitalization tend to outperform Bitcoin. This trend indicates a shift in investor focus and interest from Bitcoin to these alternative cryptocurrencies. Investors seek potentially higher returns and diversify their portfolios by investing in these altcoins, which results in their relative market performance surpassing that of Bitcoin. 3. Increased Trading Volume in Altcoins Higher trading volumes of altcoins on cryptocurrency exchanges suggest growing interest and investment in these alternative cryptocurrencies. Increased trading activity indicates that more investors are buying and selling altcoins, reflecting heightened market enthusiasm and confidence in their potential for returns. This trend can be a strong indicator of a broader shift towards altcoin investment. 4. Custom indicators Some people provide custom indicators which show that the season is Bitcoin or Altcoin. You can check one here. Again note that this indicator will indicate after altcoin season happening, so it is also a lagging indicator. How to Navigate Altcoin Season 1. Research and Due Diligence Thoroughly research any altcoin before investing. Understand the project’s team, technology, use case, and community support to avoid scams and poorly designed projects. You can learn what to research here. 2. Diversification Diversify your investments across multiple altcoins to manage risk. By spreading your investments among various altcoins, you can reduce the impact of poor performance from any single cryptocurrency. A balanced portfolio can provide stability against market volatility, as gains in some altcoins can offset losses in others, leading to a more resilient investment strategy. 3. Setting Realistic